THIS COLLOQUIUM WILL BE IN PARSONS AUDITO RIUM

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JHU/APL Colloquium - Ìý

TOPIC:Ìý From Coercion to Capitulation: How China can Take Taiwan Wit hout a War

SPEAKER:Ìý Daniel Blumenthal\, Seni or Fellow\, American Enterprise Institute

Key Points to be discussed in this presentation:

A plausible pathway exists for the People’\;s Republic of China (PRC) to employ coercion on a mass scale to force the Republic of China government to accept Beiji ng’\;s demands without sparking a large regional war and without enda ngering the PRC’\;s global grand-strategic objectives.
Too little atten tion is dedicated to the PRC’\;s coercion capabilities\, while the PR C’\;s military capability to invade Taiwan remains the core focus of strategies to defend Taiwanese autonomy. \;
A short-of-war coercion camp aign can generate conditions to provide the PRC with several avenues that could translate PRC coercive activities into political outcomes that enabl e the PRC to gain political control over Taiwan. \;
The US\, Taiwan\, a nd a global coalition of states are entirely capable of developing adequat e countermeasures to deter and defeat a PRC coercion campaign targeting Ta iwan through immediate action and close coordination.

Dan Blumenthal is a senior fel low at the American Enterprise Institute\, where he focuses on East Asian security issues and Sino-American relations. Mr. Blumenthal has served in and advised the US government on China issues for more than a decade.

Before joining AEI\, Mr. Blumenthal served as senior director for China\, Taiwan\, and Mongolia at the US Department of Defense. He served as a commissioner on the congress ionally mandated US-China Economic and Security Review Commission from 200 6 to 2012\, and he was vice chairman of the commission in 2007. He also se rved on the Academic Advisory Board of the congressional US-China Working Group.

Mr. Blumentha l is the author of “\;The China Nightmare: The Grand Ambitions of a D ecaying State”\; (AEI Press\, November 2020) and coauthor of “\; An Awkward Embrace: The United States and China in the 21st Century”\ ; (AEI Press\, November 2012).

He has testified before Congress and has been published in The Atlantic\, Commentary\, Foreign Policy\, The Hill\, Los Angeles Times\, Th e National Interest\, National Review\, The New York Post\, The New York T imes\, Newsweek\, RealClearWorld\, and The Wall Street Journal\, among other outlets. His broadcast appearances include C- SPAN\, Yahoo News\, Bloomberg Radio\, and many top-rated talk radio progra ms.

Mr. Blumenthal h as a JD from Duke Law School\, an MA from the School of Advanced Internati onal Studies at ÃØÃÜÖ±²¥ University\, and a BA from Washington Univer sity in St. Louis. He also attended Capital Normal University in Beijing\, China\, where he focused on Chinese language studies.